Курс рубля: факторы и последствия изменения

15 января 2020, 17:00 – 19:00, 2 корпус, 2 этаж, Аудитория 137

Дискуссии по поводу оптимального курса рубля и наиболее эффективной валютной политики не утихают на протяжении нескольких десятилетий. Тенденции последних лет, включая геополитическую напряженность, дисбалансы на мировом рынке нефти, переход Банка России к плавающему курсу рубля и режиму инфляционного таргетирования, внедрение нового бюджетного правила обусловливают возросшую актуальность изучения факторов динамики валютного курса рубля и последствий курсовых колебаний для макроэкономической стабильности и реальной деловой активности.

Вопросы для обсуждения

  • Валютный курс рубля в условиях бюджетного правила.
  • Перенос валютного курса рубля в цены и макроэкономическая стабильность.
  • Чистое vs гибридное инфляционное таргетирование.
  • Перспективы курсовой политики Банка России.

Модератор

  • Павел Трунин
    Павел Трунин

    руководитель направления "Макроэкономика и финансы" Института экономической политики им. Е.Т. Гайдара

Эксперты

  • Александра Божечкова
    Александра Божечкова

    заведующая лабораторией денежно-кредитной политики

  • Евсей Гурвич
    Евсей Гурвич

    руководитель Центра бюджетного анализа и прогнозирования НИФИ Министерства финансов Российской Федерации

  • Александр Исаков
    Александр Исаков

    главный экономист «ВТБ Капитал» по России и СНГ

  • Олег Солнцев
    Олег Солнцев

    руководитель направления анализа денежно-кредитной политики и банковского сектора Центра макроэкономического анализа и краткосрочного прогнозирования

  • Филипп Картаев
    Филипп Картаев

    заведующий кафедрой математических методов анализа экономики экономического факультета МГУ имени М.В. Ломоносова

  • Александр Морозов
    Александр Морозов

    директор Департамента исследований и прогнозирования Центрального банка Российской Федерации

  • Дарья Меньших
    Дарья Меньших

    аналитик Центра экономического прогнозирования Департамента стратегического развития и экономического прогнозирования Банка ГПБ (АО)

Доклады

Курс рубля

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Дискуссии по поводу оптимального курса рубля и наиболее эффективной валютной политики не утихают на протяжении нескольких десятилетий. Тенденции последних лет, включая геополитическую напряженность, дисбалансы на мировом рынке нефти, переход Банка России к плавающему курсу рубля и режиму инфляционного таргетирования, внедрение нового бюджетного правила обусловливают возросшую актуальность изучения факторов динамики валютного курса рубля и последствий курсовых колебаний для макроэкономической стабильности и реальной деловой активности.

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Дискуссии по поводу оптимального курса рубля и наиболее эффективной валютной политики не утихают на протяжении нескольких десятилетий. Тенденции последних лет, включая геополитическую напряженность, дисбалансы на мировом рынке нефти, переход Банка России к плавающему курсу рубля и режиму инфляционного таргетирования, внедрение нового бюджетного правила обусловливают возросшую актуальность изучения факторов динамики валютного курса рубля и последствий курсовых колебаний для макроэкономической стабильности и реальной деловой активности.

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  • Валютный курс рубля в условиях бюджетного правила.
  • Перенос валютного курса рубля в цены и макроэкономическая стабильность.
  • Чистое vs гибридное инфляционное таргетирование.
  • Перспективы курсовой политики Банка России.
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=> [~VALUE] => [~DESCRIPTION] => [~NAME] => Участники дискуссии [~DEFAULT_VALUE] => ) [AUTHORS] => Array ( [ID] => 220 [TIMESTAMP_X] => 2018-12-13 12:17:20 [IBLOCK_ID] => 9 [NAME] => Авторы [ACTIVE] => Y [SORT] => 102 [CODE] => AUTHORS [DEFAULT_VALUE] => [PROPERTY_TYPE] => E [ROW_COUNT] => 1 [COL_COUNT] => 30 [LIST_TYPE] => L [MULTIPLE] => Y [XML_ID] => 220 [FILE_TYPE] => [MULTIPLE_CNT] => 5 [TMP_ID] => [LINK_IBLOCK_ID] => 8 [WITH_DESCRIPTION] => N [SEARCHABLE] => N [FILTRABLE] => N [IS_REQUIRED] => N [VERSION] => 1 [USER_TYPE] => [USER_TYPE_SETTINGS] => [HINT] => [PROPERTY_VALUE_ID] => [VALUE] => [DESCRIPTION] => [VALUE_ENUM] => [VALUE_XML_ID] => [VALUE_SORT] => [~VALUE] => [~DESCRIPTION] => [~NAME] => Авторы [~DEFAULT_VALUE] => ) [LECTORS] => Array ( [ID] => 221 [TIMESTAMP_X] => 2018-12-13 12:17:20 [IBLOCK_ID] => 9 [NAME] => Лекторы [ACTIVE] => Y [SORT] => 103 [CODE] => LECTORS [DEFAULT_VALUE] => [PROPERTY_TYPE] => E [ROW_COUNT] => 1 [COL_COUNT] => 30 [LIST_TYPE] => L [MULTIPLE] => Y [XML_ID] => 221 [FILE_TYPE] => [MULTIPLE_CNT] => 5 [TMP_ID] => [LINK_IBLOCK_ID] => 8 [WITH_DESCRIPTION] => N [SEARCHABLE] => N [FILTRABLE] => N [IS_REQUIRED] => N [VERSION] => 1 [USER_TYPE] => [USER_TYPE_SETTINGS] => [HINT] => [PROPERTY_VALUE_ID] => [VALUE] => [DESCRIPTION] => [VALUE_ENUM] => [VALUE_XML_ID] => [VALUE_SORT] => [~VALUE] => [~DESCRIPTION] => [~NAME] => Лекторы [~DEFAULT_VALUE] => ) [PRESENTATIONS] => Array ( [ID] => 217 [TIMESTAMP_X] => 2018-12-13 12:17:20 [IBLOCK_ID] => 9 [NAME] => Презентация [ACTIVE] => Y [SORT] => 104 [CODE] => PRESENTATIONS [DEFAULT_VALUE] => [PROPERTY_TYPE] => E [ROW_COUNT] => 1 [COL_COUNT] => 30 [LIST_TYPE] => L [MULTIPLE] => Y [XML_ID] => 217 [FILE_TYPE] => [MULTIPLE_CNT] => 5 [TMP_ID] => [LINK_IBLOCK_ID] => 8 [WITH_DESCRIPTION] => N [SEARCHABLE] => N [FILTRABLE] => N [IS_REQUIRED] => N [VERSION] => 1 [USER_TYPE] => [USER_TYPE_SETTINGS] => [HINT] => [PROPERTY_VALUE_ID] => [VALUE] => [DESCRIPTION] => [VALUE_ENUM] => [VALUE_XML_ID] => [VALUE_SORT] => [~VALUE] => [~DESCRIPTION] => [~NAME] => Презентация [~DEFAULT_VALUE] => ) [SPEAKERS] => Array ( [ID] => 231 [TIMESTAMP_X] => 2018-12-13 12:17:20 [IBLOCK_ID] => 9 [NAME] => Спикеры [ACTIVE] => Y [SORT] => 105 [CODE] => SPEAKERS [DEFAULT_VALUE] => [PROPERTY_TYPE] => E [ROW_COUNT] => 1 [COL_COUNT] => 30 [LIST_TYPE] => L [MULTIPLE] => Y [XML_ID] => 231 [FILE_TYPE] => [MULTIPLE_CNT] => 5 [TMP_ID] => [LINK_IBLOCK_ID] => 8 [WITH_DESCRIPTION] => N [SEARCHABLE] => N [FILTRABLE] => N [IS_REQUIRED] => N [VERSION] => 1 [USER_TYPE] => [USER_TYPE_SETTINGS] => [HINT] => [PROPERTY_VALUE_ID] => [VALUE] => [DESCRIPTION] => [VALUE_ENUM] => [VALUE_XML_ID] => [VALUE_SORT] => [~VALUE] => [~DESCRIPTION] => [~NAME] => Спикеры [~DEFAULT_VALUE] => ) [OPENINGS] => Array ( [ID] => 240 [TIMESTAMP_X] => 2018-12-13 12:17:20 [IBLOCK_ID] => 9 [NAME] => Открытие [ACTIVE] => Y [SORT] => 106 [CODE] => OPENINGS [DEFAULT_VALUE] => [PROPERTY_TYPE] => E [ROW_COUNT] => 1 [COL_COUNT] => 30 [LIST_TYPE] => L [MULTIPLE] => Y [XML_ID] => 240 [FILE_TYPE] => [MULTIPLE_CNT] => 5 [TMP_ID] => [LINK_IBLOCK_ID] => 8 [WITH_DESCRIPTION] => N [SEARCHABLE] => N [FILTRABLE] => N [IS_REQUIRED] => N [VERSION] => 1 [USER_TYPE] => [USER_TYPE_SETTINGS] => [HINT] => [PROPERTY_VALUE_ID] => [VALUE] => [DESCRIPTION] => [VALUE_ENUM] => [VALUE_XML_ID] => [VALUE_SORT] => [~VALUE] => [~DESCRIPTION] => [~NAME] => Открытие [~DEFAULT_VALUE] => ) [SUBTITLE] => Array ( [ID] => 75 [TIMESTAMP_X] => 2018-12-13 12:17:20 [IBLOCK_ID] => 9 [NAME] => Подзаголовок [ACTIVE] => Y [SORT] => 110 [CODE] => SUBTITLE [DEFAULT_VALUE] => [PROPERTY_TYPE] => S [ROW_COUNT] => 1 [COL_COUNT] => 30 [LIST_TYPE] => L [MULTIPLE] => N [XML_ID] => 75 [FILE_TYPE] => [MULTIPLE_CNT] => 5 [TMP_ID] => [LINK_IBLOCK_ID] => 0 [WITH_DESCRIPTION] => N [SEARCHABLE] => N [FILTRABLE] => N [IS_REQUIRED] => N [VERSION] => 1 [USER_TYPE] => [USER_TYPE_SETTINGS] => [HINT] => [PROPERTY_VALUE_ID] => [VALUE] => [DESCRIPTION] => [VALUE_ENUM] => [VALUE_XML_ID] => [VALUE_SORT] => [~VALUE] => [~DESCRIPTION] => [~NAME] => Подзаголовок [~DEFAULT_VALUE] => ) [MSP_REPRESENTATIVES] => Array ( [ID] => 76 [TIMESTAMP_X] => 2018-12-13 12:17:20 [IBLOCK_ID] => 9 [NAME] => Представители МСП [ACTIVE] => Y [SORT] => 120 [CODE] => MSP_REPRESENTATIVES [DEFAULT_VALUE] => Array ( [TYPE] => HTML [TEXT] => ) [PROPERTY_TYPE] => S [ROW_COUNT] => 1 [COL_COUNT] => 30 [LIST_TYPE] => L [MULTIPLE] => N [XML_ID] => 76 [FILE_TYPE] => [MULTIPLE_CNT] => 5 [TMP_ID] => [LINK_IBLOCK_ID] => 0 [WITH_DESCRIPTION] => N [SEARCHABLE] => N [FILTRABLE] => N [IS_REQUIRED] => N [VERSION] => 1 [USER_TYPE] => HTML [USER_TYPE_SETTINGS] => Array ( [height] => 200 ) [HINT] => [PROPERTY_VALUE_ID] => [VALUE] => [DESCRIPTION] => [VALUE_ENUM] => [VALUE_XML_ID] => [VALUE_SORT] => [~VALUE] => [~DESCRIPTION] => [~NAME] => Представители МСП [~DEFAULT_VALUE] => Array ( [TYPE] => HTML [TEXT] => ) ) [MEDIA_LINK] => Array ( [ID] => 118 [TIMESTAMP_X] => 2018-12-13 12:17:20 [IBLOCK_ID] => 9 [NAME] => Медиаматериалы [ACTIVE] => Y [SORT] => 130 [CODE] => MEDIA_LINK [DEFAULT_VALUE] => [PROPERTY_TYPE] => E [ROW_COUNT] => 1 [COL_COUNT] => 30 [LIST_TYPE] => L [MULTIPLE] => N [XML_ID] => 118 [FILE_TYPE] => [MULTIPLE_CNT] => 5 [TMP_ID] => [LINK_IBLOCK_ID] => 29 [WITH_DESCRIPTION] => N [SEARCHABLE] => N [FILTRABLE] => N [IS_REQUIRED] => N [VERSION] => 1 [USER_TYPE] => [USER_TYPE_SETTINGS] => [HINT] => [PROPERTY_VALUE_ID] => 138631 [VALUE] => 24329 [DESCRIPTION] => [VALUE_ENUM] => [VALUE_XML_ID] => [VALUE_SORT] => [~VALUE] => 24329 [~DESCRIPTION] => [~NAME] => Медиаматериалы [~DEFAULT_VALUE] => ) [CALENDAR] => Array ( [ID] => 128 [TIMESTAMP_X] => 2018-12-13 12:17:20 [IBLOCK_ID] => 9 [NAME] => Календарь [ACTIVE] => Y [SORT] => 140 [CODE] => CALENDAR [DEFAULT_VALUE] => [PROPERTY_TYPE] => L [ROW_COUNT] => 1 [COL_COUNT] => 30 [LIST_TYPE] => C [MULTIPLE] => N [XML_ID] => 128 [FILE_TYPE] => [MULTIPLE_CNT] => 5 [TMP_ID] => [LINK_IBLOCK_ID] => 0 [WITH_DESCRIPTION] => N [SEARCHABLE] => N [FILTRABLE] => N [IS_REQUIRED] => N [VERSION] => 1 [USER_TYPE] => [USER_TYPE_SETTINGS] => [HINT] => [PROPERTY_VALUE_ID] => [VALUE] => [DESCRIPTION] => [VALUE_ENUM] => [VALUE_XML_ID] => [VALUE_SORT] => [VALUE_ENUM_ID] => [~VALUE] => [~DESCRIPTION] => [~NAME] => Календарь [~DEFAULT_VALUE] => ) [EVENT_INFO] => Array ( [ID] => 129 [TIMESTAMP_X] => 2018-12-13 12:17:20 [IBLOCK_ID] => 9 [NAME] => Информационное событие [ACTIVE] => Y [SORT] => 150 [CODE] => EVENT_INFO [DEFAULT_VALUE] => [PROPERTY_TYPE] => L [ROW_COUNT] => 1 [COL_COUNT] => 30 [LIST_TYPE] => C [MULTIPLE] => N [XML_ID] => 129 [FILE_TYPE] => [MULTIPLE_CNT] => 5 [TMP_ID] => [LINK_IBLOCK_ID] => 0 [WITH_DESCRIPTION] => N [SEARCHABLE] => N [FILTRABLE] => N [IS_REQUIRED] => N [VERSION] => 1 [USER_TYPE] => [USER_TYPE_SETTINGS] => [HINT] => [PROPERTY_VALUE_ID] => [VALUE] => [DESCRIPTION] => [VALUE_ENUM] => [VALUE_XML_ID] => [VALUE_SORT] => [VALUE_ENUM_ID] => [~VALUE] => [~DESCRIPTION] => [~NAME] => Информационное событие [~DEFAULT_VALUE] => ) [CHANGE] => Array ( [ID] => 130 [TIMESTAMP_X] => 2018-12-13 12:17:20 [IBLOCK_ID] => 9 [NAME] => Изменение [ACTIVE] => Y [SORT] => 160 [CODE] => CHANGE [DEFAULT_VALUE] => [PROPERTY_TYPE] => L [ROW_COUNT] => 1 [COL_COUNT] => 30 [LIST_TYPE] => C [MULTIPLE] => N [XML_ID] => 130 [FILE_TYPE] => [MULTIPLE_CNT] => 5 [TMP_ID] => [LINK_IBLOCK_ID] => 0 [WITH_DESCRIPTION] => N [SEARCHABLE] => N [FILTRABLE] => N [IS_REQUIRED] => N [VERSION] => 1 [USER_TYPE] => [USER_TYPE_SETTINGS] => [HINT] => [PROPERTY_VALUE_ID] => [VALUE] => [DESCRIPTION] => [VALUE_ENUM] => [VALUE_XML_ID] => [VALUE_SORT] => [VALUE_ENUM_ID] => [~VALUE] => [~DESCRIPTION] => [~NAME] => Изменение [~DEFAULT_VALUE] => ) [LANGUAGES] => Array ( [ID] => 222 [TIMESTAMP_X] => 2018-12-13 12:17:20 [IBLOCK_ID] => 9 [NAME] => Рабочие языки [ACTIVE] => Y [SORT] => 170 [CODE] => LANGUAGES [DEFAULT_VALUE] => [PROPERTY_TYPE] => L [ROW_COUNT] => 1 [COL_COUNT] => 30 [LIST_TYPE] => L [MULTIPLE] => Y [XML_ID] => 222 [FILE_TYPE] => [MULTIPLE_CNT] => 5 [TMP_ID] => [LINK_IBLOCK_ID] => 0 [WITH_DESCRIPTION] => N [SEARCHABLE] => N [FILTRABLE] => N [IS_REQUIRED] => N [VERSION] => 1 [USER_TYPE] => [USER_TYPE_SETTINGS] => [HINT] => [PROPERTY_VALUE_ID] => Array ( [0] => 138632 ) [VALUE] => Array ( [0] => русский ) [DESCRIPTION] => Array ( [0] => ) [VALUE_ENUM] => Array ( [0] => русский ) [VALUE_XML_ID] => Array ( [0] => 1 ) [VALUE_SORT] => Array ( [0] => 10 ) [VALUE_ENUM_ID] => Array ( [0] => 50 ) [~VALUE] => Array ( [0] => русский ) [~DESCRIPTION] => Array ( [0] => ) [~NAME] => Рабочие языки [~DEFAULT_VALUE] => ) [INVITATION_ONLY] => Array ( [ID] => 223 [TIMESTAMP_X] => 2018-12-13 12:17:20 [IBLOCK_ID] => 9 [NAME] => Вход по индивидуальным приглашениям [ACTIVE] => Y [SORT] => 180 [CODE] => INVITATION_ONLY [DEFAULT_VALUE] => [PROPERTY_TYPE] => L [ROW_COUNT] => 1 [COL_COUNT] => 30 [LIST_TYPE] => C [MULTIPLE] => N [XML_ID] => 223 [FILE_TYPE] => [MULTIPLE_CNT] => 5 [TMP_ID] => [LINK_IBLOCK_ID] => 0 [WITH_DESCRIPTION] => N [SEARCHABLE] => N [FILTRABLE] => N [IS_REQUIRED] => N [VERSION] => 1 [USER_TYPE] => [USER_TYPE_SETTINGS] => [HINT] => [PROPERTY_VALUE_ID] => [VALUE] => [DESCRIPTION] => [VALUE_ENUM] => [VALUE_XML_ID] => [VALUE_SORT] => [VALUE_ENUM_ID] => [~VALUE] => [~DESCRIPTION] => [~NAME] => Вход по индивидуальным приглашениям [~DEFAULT_VALUE] => ) [PREMIUM_ONLY] => Array ( [ID] => 232 [TIMESTAMP_X] => 2018-12-13 12:17:20 [IBLOCK_ID] => 9 [NAME] => Вход с бэйджами категории «ПРЕМИУМ» [ACTIVE] => Y [SORT] => 500 [CODE] => PREMIUM_ONLY [DEFAULT_VALUE] => [PROPERTY_TYPE] => L [ROW_COUNT] => 1 [COL_COUNT] => 30 [LIST_TYPE] => C [MULTIPLE] => N [XML_ID] => 232 [FILE_TYPE] => [MULTIPLE_CNT] => 5 [TMP_ID] => [LINK_IBLOCK_ID] => 0 [WITH_DESCRIPTION] => N [SEARCHABLE] => N [FILTRABLE] => N [IS_REQUIRED] => N [VERSION] => 1 [USER_TYPE] => [USER_TYPE_SETTINGS] => [HINT] => [PROPERTY_VALUE_ID] => [VALUE] => [DESCRIPTION] => [VALUE_ENUM] => [VALUE_XML_ID] => [VALUE_SORT] => [VALUE_ENUM_ID] => [~VALUE] => [~DESCRIPTION] => [~NAME] => Вход с бэйджами категории «ПРЕМИУМ» [~DEFAULT_VALUE] => ) [KEYNOTE_FILE] => Array ( [ID] => 234 [TIMESTAMP_X] => 2019-01-14 21:27:15 [IBLOCK_ID] => 9 [NAME] => Доклад [ACTIVE] => Y [SORT] => 500 [CODE] => KEYNOTE_FILE [DEFAULT_VALUE] => [PROPERTY_TYPE] => F [ROW_COUNT] => 1 [COL_COUNT] => 30 [LIST_TYPE] => L [MULTIPLE] => Y [XML_ID] => 234 [FILE_TYPE] => pdf [MULTIPLE_CNT] => 5 [TMP_ID] => [LINK_IBLOCK_ID] => 0 [WITH_DESCRIPTION] => Y [SEARCHABLE] => N [FILTRABLE] => N [IS_REQUIRED] => N [VERSION] => 1 [USER_TYPE] => [USER_TYPE_SETTINGS] => [HINT] => [PROPERTY_VALUE_ID] => Array ( [0] => 132426 ) [VALUE] => Array ( [0] => 57981 ) [DESCRIPTION] => Array ( [0] => Курс рубля ) [VALUE_ENUM] => [VALUE_XML_ID] => [VALUE_SORT] => [~VALUE] => Array ( [0] => 57981 ) [~DESCRIPTION] => Array ( [0] => Курс рубля ) [~NAME] => Доклад [~DEFAULT_VALUE] => ) [EVENT_CATEGORY] => Array ( [ID] => 297 [TIMESTAMP_X] => 2019-12-22 15:15:18 [IBLOCK_ID] => 9 [NAME] => Категория мероприятия [ACTIVE] => Y [SORT] => 500 [CODE] => EVENT_CATEGORY [DEFAULT_VALUE] => [PROPERTY_TYPE] => L [ROW_COUNT] => 1 [COL_COUNT] => 30 [LIST_TYPE] => L [MULTIPLE] => N [XML_ID] => [FILE_TYPE] => [MULTIPLE_CNT] => 5 [TMP_ID] => [LINK_IBLOCK_ID] => 0 [WITH_DESCRIPTION] => N [SEARCHABLE] => N [FILTRABLE] => N [IS_REQUIRED] => N [VERSION] => 1 [USER_TYPE] => [USER_TYPE_SETTINGS] => [HINT] => [PROPERTY_VALUE_ID] => 138633 [VALUE] => Научно-экспертная программа [DESCRIPTION] => [VALUE_ENUM] => Научно-экспертная программа [VALUE_XML_ID] => #7fa6cb,#333333 [VALUE_SORT] => 200 [VALUE_ENUM_ID] => 88 [~VALUE] => Научно-экспертная программа [~DESCRIPTION] => [~NAME] => Категория мероприятия [~DEFAULT_VALUE] => ) ) [DISPLAY_PROPERTIES] => Array ( [QUESTIONS] => Array ( [ID] => 12 [TIMESTAMP_X] => 2017-12-18 10:54:36 [IBLOCK_ID] => 9 [NAME] => Вопросы для обсуждения [ACTIVE] => Y [SORT] => 10 [CODE] => QUESTIONS [DEFAULT_VALUE] => Array ( [TYPE] => HTML [TEXT] => ) [PROPERTY_TYPE] => S [ROW_COUNT] => 1 [COL_COUNT] => 30 [LIST_TYPE] => L [MULTIPLE] => N [XML_ID] => 12 [FILE_TYPE] => [MULTIPLE_CNT] => 5 [TMP_ID] => [LINK_IBLOCK_ID] => 0 [WITH_DESCRIPTION] => Y [SEARCHABLE] => N [FILTRABLE] => N [IS_REQUIRED] => N [VERSION] => 1 [USER_TYPE] => HTML [USER_TYPE_SETTINGS] => Array ( [height] => 200 ) [HINT] => [PROPERTY_VALUE_ID] => 112269 [VALUE] => Array ( [TEXT] => <ul class="style-prog-list"> <li>Валютный курс рубля в условиях бюджетного правила.</li> <li> Перенос валютного курса рубля в цены и макроэкономическая стабильность.</li> <li> Чистое vs гибридное инфляционное таргетирование.</li> <li> Перспективы курсовой политики Банка России.</li> </ul> [TYPE] => HTML ) [DESCRIPTION] => [VALUE_ENUM] => [VALUE_XML_ID] => [VALUE_SORT] => [~VALUE] => Array ( [TEXT] =>
  • Валютный курс рубля в условиях бюджетного правила.
  • Перенос валютного курса рубля в цены и макроэкономическая стабильность.
  • Чистое vs гибридное инфляционное таргетирование.
  • Перспективы курсовой политики Банка России.
[TYPE] => HTML ) [~DESCRIPTION] => [~NAME] => Вопросы для обсуждения [~DEFAULT_VALUE] => Array ( [TYPE] => HTML [TEXT] => ) [DISPLAY_VALUE] =>
  • Валютный курс рубля в условиях бюджетного правила.
  • Перенос валютного курса рубля в цены и макроэкономическая стабильность.
  • Чистое vs гибридное инфляционное таргетирование.
  • Перспективы курсовой политики Банка России.
) [LOCATION] => Array ( [ID] => 19 [TIMESTAMP_X] => 2017-12-18 10:54:36 [IBLOCK_ID] => 9 [NAME] => Место проведения мероприятия [ACTIVE] => Y [SORT] => 30 [CODE] => LOCATION [DEFAULT_VALUE] => [PROPERTY_TYPE] => S [ROW_COUNT] => 1 [COL_COUNT] => 30 [LIST_TYPE] => L [MULTIPLE] => N [XML_ID] => 19 [FILE_TYPE] => [MULTIPLE_CNT] => 5 [TMP_ID] => [LINK_IBLOCK_ID] => 0 [WITH_DESCRIPTION] => N [SEARCHABLE] => N [FILTRABLE] => N [IS_REQUIRED] => N [VERSION] => 1 [USER_TYPE] => [USER_TYPE_SETTINGS] => [HINT] => [PROPERTY_VALUE_ID] => 112278 [VALUE] => 2 корпус, 2 этаж, Аудитория 137 [DESCRIPTION] => [VALUE_ENUM] => [VALUE_XML_ID] => [VALUE_SORT] => [~VALUE] => 2 корпус, 2 этаж, Аудитория 137 [~DESCRIPTION] => [~NAME] => Место проведения мероприятия [~DEFAULT_VALUE] => [DISPLAY_VALUE] => 2 корпус, 2 этаж, Аудитория 137 ) [MODERATORS] => Array ( [ID] => 14 [TIMESTAMP_X] => 2017-12-18 13:54:45 [IBLOCK_ID] => 9 [NAME] => Модераторы [ACTIVE] => Y [SORT] => 40 [CODE] => MODERATORS [DEFAULT_VALUE] => [PROPERTY_TYPE] => E [ROW_COUNT] => 1 [COL_COUNT] => 30 [LIST_TYPE] => L [MULTIPLE] => Y [XML_ID] => 14 [FILE_TYPE] => [MULTIPLE_CNT] => 5 [TMP_ID] => [LINK_IBLOCK_ID] => 8 [WITH_DESCRIPTION] => N [SEARCHABLE] => N [FILTRABLE] => N [IS_REQUIRED] => N [VERSION] => 1 [USER_TYPE] => [USER_TYPE_SETTINGS] => [HINT] => [PROPERTY_VALUE_ID] => Array ( [0] => 112271 ) [VALUE] => Array ( [0] => 973 ) [DESCRIPTION] => Array ( [0] => ) [VALUE_ENUM] => [VALUE_XML_ID] => [VALUE_SORT] => [~VALUE] => Array ( [0] => 973 ) [~DESCRIPTION] => Array ( [0] => ) [~NAME] => Модераторы [~DEFAULT_VALUE] => [DISPLAY_VALUE] => Павел Трунин [LINK_ELEMENT_VALUE] => Array ( [973] => Array ( [ID] => 973 [~ID] => 973 [IBLOCK_ID] => 8 [~IBLOCK_ID] => 8 [NAME] => Павел Трунин [~NAME] => Павел Трунин [DETAIL_PAGE_URL] => /experts/pavel-trunin/ [~DETAIL_PAGE_URL] => /experts/pavel-trunin/ [PREVIEW_PICTURE] => 36180 [~PREVIEW_PICTURE] => 36180 [DETAIL_PICTURE] => [~DETAIL_PICTURE] => [SORT] => 500 [~SORT] => 500 [LANG_DIR] => / [~LANG_DIR] => / [CODE] => pavel-trunin [~CODE] => pavel-trunin [EXTERNAL_ID] => 973 [~EXTERNAL_ID] => 973 [IBLOCK_SECTION_ID] => 166 [~IBLOCK_SECTION_ID] => 166 [IBLOCK_TYPE_ID] => content [~IBLOCK_TYPE_ID] => content [IBLOCK_CODE] => experts [~IBLOCK_CODE] => experts [IBLOCK_EXTERNAL_ID] => 8 [~IBLOCK_EXTERNAL_ID] => 8 [LID] => s1 [~LID] => s1 ) ) ) [PARTICIPANTS] => Array ( [ID] => 15 [TIMESTAMP_X] => 2017-12-18 10:54:36 [IBLOCK_ID] => 9 [NAME] => Экcперты [ACTIVE] => Y [SORT] => 60 [CODE] => PARTICIPANTS [DEFAULT_VALUE] => [PROPERTY_TYPE] => E [ROW_COUNT] => 1 [COL_COUNT] => 30 [LIST_TYPE] => L [MULTIPLE] => Y [XML_ID] => 15 [FILE_TYPE] => [MULTIPLE_CNT] => 5 [TMP_ID] => [LINK_IBLOCK_ID] => 8 [WITH_DESCRIPTION] => N [SEARCHABLE] => N [FILTRABLE] => N [IS_REQUIRED] => N [VERSION] => 1 [USER_TYPE] => [USER_TYPE_SETTINGS] => [HINT] => [PROPERTY_VALUE_ID] => Array ( [0] => 112272 [1] => 112273 [2] => 112274 [3] => 112275 [4] => 112276 [5] => 122518 [6] => 128267 ) [VALUE] => Array ( [0] => 20594 [1] => 2326 [2] => 3628 [3] => 2324 [4] => 7663 [5] => 2323 [6] => 22158 ) [DESCRIPTION] => Array ( [0] => [1] => [2] => [3] => [4] => [5] => [6] => ) [VALUE_ENUM] => [VALUE_XML_ID] => [VALUE_SORT] => [~VALUE] => Array ( [0] => 20594 [1] => 2326 [2] => 3628 [3] => 2324 [4] => 7663 [5] => 2323 [6] => 22158 ) [~DESCRIPTION] => Array ( [0] => [1] => [2] => [3] => [4] => [5] => [6] => ) [~NAME] => Экcперты [~DEFAULT_VALUE] => [DISPLAY_VALUE] => Array ( [0] => Александра Божечкова [1] => Евсей Гурвич [2] => Александр Исаков [3] => Олег Солнцев [4] => Филипп Картаев [5] => Александр Морозов [6] => Дарья Меньших ) [LINK_ELEMENT_VALUE] => Array ( [20594] => Array ( [ID] => 20594 [~ID] => 20594 [IBLOCK_ID] => 8 [~IBLOCK_ID] => 8 [NAME] => Александра Божечкова [~NAME] => Александра Божечкова [DETAIL_PAGE_URL] => /experts/aleksandra-bozhechkova/ [~DETAIL_PAGE_URL] => /experts/aleksandra-bozhechkova/ [PREVIEW_PICTURE] => 57764 [~PREVIEW_PICTURE] => 57764 [DETAIL_PICTURE] => 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Array ( ) ) [SECTION_URL] => [META_TAGS] => Array ( [TITLE] => Курс рубля: факторы и последствия изменения [ELEMENT_CHAIN] => Курс рубля: факторы и последствия изменения [BROWSER_TITLE] => [KEYWORDS] => [DESCRIPTION] => ) [EXPERTSTYPES] => Array ( [0] => OPENINGS [1] => SAY_HIS [2] => MODERATORS [3] => KEYREPORT_MODERATOR [4] => KEYREPORTS [5] => KEYREPORT2S [6] => SPEAKERS [7] => SPEECH [8] => PRESENTATIONS [9] => MEMBERS [10] => PARTICIPANTS [11] => MEMBERS_AND_EXPERTS [12] => DISCUSS_MEMBERS [13] => AUTHORS [14] => LECTORS ) [DATE_EVENT] => 15 января 2020 [START_TIME] => 17:00 [END_TIME] => 19:00 [TIME_EVENT] => 15 января [OGDESC] =>

Дискуссии по поводу оптимального курса рубля и наиболее эффективной валютной политики не утихают на протяжении нескольких десятилетий. Тенденции последних лет, включая геополитическую напряженность, дисбалансы на мировом рынке нефти, переход Банка России к плавающему курсу рубля и режиму инфляционного таргетирования, внедрение нового бюджетного правила обусловливают возросшую актуальность изучения факторов динамики валютного курса рубля и последствий курсовых колебаний для макроэкономической стабильности и реальной деловой активности.

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